Groww Target Price: Groww in sweet spot as Jefferies sees ample headroom in India’s MTF book
According to the Jefferies note, India’s margin trading book has enough room to grow and at the end of August month, the size of MTF book was ₹1.5 trillion.
While India’s margin trading book has grown at 34 per cent CAGR over the last two years, it is still smaller than developed markets, where MTF book is 2x of cash ADTO. In India, it is 1.1x of cash ADTO.
“This is a fraction of the overall cash turnover, which was ₹280 trillion in FY26, and 1.1x of daily cash turnover,” the note said.
Groww’s MTF book Against this backdrop, Groww’s MTF book has potential to nearly triple to ₹100 billion in the next few years, Jefferies said.
Notably, Groww’s MTF book has grown 6x since FY25 to ₹38 billion, with 1.1 per cent of active cash broking customers using MTF in 1QFY27. For peers, MTF penetration within active stock traders is 2.5-3 per cent.
ICICI Securities, Kotak Securities and HDFC Securities, together have around 40 per cent market share in MTF. On the other hand, Groww, Zerodha and Angel One have 15 per cent market share, up from 10 per cent in June 2025 despite bank led brokers offering plans with lower rates.
“Groww’s 3 per cent MTF share is expected to become 5 per cent by FY29e, leading to 14 per cent revenue contribution vs 5 per cent in FY26,” the note said.
Groww is the largest broker in India by active clients, despite having started the business only in FY21.
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